2024-12-13 05:41:28
OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.Ping An Property & Casualty Shanghai Branch responded with a fine: the internal accountability mechanism was started, and the rectification work was carried out. On December 11th, the ticket disclosed by Shanghai Supervision Bureau of the State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau showed that China Ping An Property Insurance Co., Ltd. Shanghai Branch was fined 730,000 yuan for entrusting an institution without legal qualification to engage in insurance sales activities, and compiling or providing false reports, statements, documents and materials. In this regard, Ping An Property & Casualty Shanghai Branch responded that the company completely obeyed the punishment decision of the regulatory authorities, and ordered the punished institutions to carefully analyze the causes of the problems found in the supervision at the first time, and started the internal accountability mechanism to pursue the relevant responsible persons. In response to the problems pointed out by the regulatory authorities, the relevant departments have been instructed to take the lead in organizing the relevant institutions to carry out rectification work, and to carry out self-examination and self-correction of related problems and centralized rectification work. (澎湃)
Egyptian Prime Minister: At least 10 state-owned enterprises will be listed in 2025.Analyst Anstey: Today's CPI data will hardly change anyone's prospects. However, those who still think that the Fed will remain inactive next week may reconsider, because inflation is not worse than expected. This seems to give the green light to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 18th.Broadcom US stocks rose 3.6% before the market, while Apple US stocks rose 0.3% before the market. In the news, Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips.
The Italian neo-Nazi organization planned to assassinate the Prime Minister, which was foiled by the police. According to the British Daily Telegraph on the 11th, an Italian neo-Nazi organization was accused of planning to assassinate Prime Minister Giorgiya meloni and World Economic Forum President klaus schwab, and the assassination plot was foiled by the police. (World Wide Web)U.S. stock index futures expanded before the market, with S&P 500 futures up 0.4%, Nasdaq futures up 0.6% and Dow futures up 0.2%.US official: Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile into Ukraine in the next few days. It is expected that Russia's Oreshnik missile is not a game changer on the battlefield, but an attempt to intimidate Ukraine.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13